Earthquake watch

[Adamantine]

http://indyposted.com/16509/usgs-says-r ... ve-normal/

USGS Says Recent Earthquake Activity Not Above Normal

“According to long-term records (since about 1900), we expect about 17 major earthquakes (7.0 – 7.9) and one great earthquake (8.0 or above) in any given year.”






I would think that this is what science is for and the keeping of charts and records.

It appears as though there has not been an increase in the number of quakes as recorded on a yearly basis.
Possibly there is based on a weekly average or daily average but this may again " average out."




.

[OneDay]

Several earthquakes in Mexico this morning, including a 5.5 magnitude quake at 9:44, could be felt in San Diego.

[Lorne]

Even if Earthquakes aren't on the rise, there has been a heightened awareness of them amongst most people. Couldn't that alone be enough to fulfill prophecy? It certainly "appears" like an increase to the average person.

[Mr Baldy]

7.1 magnitude earthquake Solomon Island April 11, 2010

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100411/ap_ ... earthquake

[Adamantine]

http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/europe/04 ... arthquake/

6.2 in Spain.

Comment
It is getting a little suspicious to our intuitive perception of frequency.
It will take some time before the science can says if this is true.

[Reborn]

Well, as I said in a previous post, the quakes in the central section of the US have been steadily INCREASING over the years and especially so over the last year and a half. They've been increasing not only in frequency but also in intensity regardless of what the "world's experts" say. It's because I didn't really expect the truth from these experts that I started keeping a daily record of the quakes in the central US for myself, and also because I live here.

If our quakes have slowly been increasing, then I figure that the world's quakes are too.

[ToledoDebbie]

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/

Still over 1200 earthquakes on the USGS 7-day worldmap, in spite of the fact that each day, they drop off all of the quakes that are over 1 week old. If the scientists and experts were being honest, they would admit that the number of quakes over the past 3 weeks has increased substantially, compared to any other 3 week period of time reported in recent years. Something is happening right NOW, something out of the ordinary, and I don't know what significance this holds for those of us that watch for Prophetic signs, we will just have to wait and see.

Peace,
ToledoDebbie

[Lorne]

Also, "experts" are the ones pushing global warming....

[Just_Betsy]

Also, "experts" are the ones pushing global warming....

Yeah, you can find "experts" promoting anything. The fact is, an "expert" is just someone who has learned a certain set of teachings/philosophies/beliefs very well, and can expound on and defend them. Experts who are creationists and experts who are evolutionists, for example, look at the same set of facts and interpret them totally differently...according to the worldview in which they have their expertise. Being an expert in something doesn't mean that what you've learned is actually true.

And history clearly shows that "experts" can be motivated to toe the official government line.

Sort-of reminds me of an old joke:

An "ex" is a has-been
A "spurt" is a drip under pressure.
You can fill in the rest.

[Lorne]

Sort-of reminds me of an old joke:

An "ex" is a has-been
A "spurt" is a drip under pressure.
You can fill in the rest.

And history clearly shows that "experts" can be motivated to toe the official government line.

Very true.

If it looks, quacks, and swims like a duck, the odds are that it’s a duck.
If it looks, sounds, and feels like more earthquakes, the odds are that is the case.

[morpheus]

New earthquake in Tibet.

So how many have to happen before people say that earthquakes frequency is far above normal? Seems like the reporting at least is way above normal.

[burien1]

China, 6.9

http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2010/04/13/6-9-magnitude-earthquake-strikes-china/?hpt=T2

A 6.9-magnitude earthquake struck Qinghai province of China Wednesday morning, the U.S. Geological Survey reported

[learningeachday]

Does anyone else feel like the main stream media isn't reporting all of these earthquakes as much lately?

(Maybe it's just me....maybe I haven't been following the msm as much recently....)

[david]

Powerful Earthquake in China Kills 300

6.9

http://www1.voanews.com/english/news/as ... 05999.html

[extravagantchristian]

David, I seen that too...

I wonder who will be next

[Adamantine]

It sure seems (again intuitively ) that earthquakes in the range of 7 have increased. The USA geological survey nearly always reports them as less in magnitude than other world sources. Hence the one in the Solomon Island Sunday and the one in China were both reported elsewhere as 7.1 but the USA geological survey reported them as about 6.8-6.9.

If the average is 17 greater than 7 mag. in a year then can someone tell me what two standard deviations from the mean would be in this case.
That is usually the variation always accepted as increased.
Will we need to wait a full year to really understand if the frequency is increasing?

[OneDay]

More Info...
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/
‘Terrible quake’kills hundreds in west China

A 6.9-magnitude temblor rocks province near Tibet, killing at least 400 and injuring thousands. Full story

[GodsStudent]

This quake struck in a western Tibetan area of China. The Hindus. The head of one of their great hindu statues in a park was lopped off by the quake.

For believers, this should be telling.....For nonbelievers, this should be provocative enough to cause question.

The facts:
Haiti - primaily vodoo
Indonesia - Muslim
Chili - Catholic
Spain - Catholic
Tibet - primarily hindu

The really big ones seem to be having "other god" issues. Maybe my observations aren't correct, but there seems to be a coorelation taking place?

[Just_Betsy]

The problem is, if "the big one" hits the US, people will say that it hit a Christian nation. And that wouldn't be true.

[extravagantchristian]

This quake struck in a western Tibetan area of China. The Hindus. The head of one of their great hindu statues in a park was lopped off by the quake.

For believers, this should be telling.....For nonbelievers, this should be provocative enough to cause question.

The facts:
Haiti - primaily vodoo
Indonesia - Muslim
Chili - Catholic
Spain - Catholic
Tibet - primarily hindu

The really big ones seem to be having "other god" issues. Maybe my observations aren't correct, but there seems to be a coorelation taking place?

Yeah but, no matter where an earthquake hits, there will always be a popular religion in that area.

[extravagantchristian]

It sure seems (again intuitively ) that earthquakes in the range of 7 have increased. The USA geological survey nearly always reports them as less in magnitude than other world sources. Hence the one in the Solomon Island Sunday and the one in China were both reported elsewhere as 7.1 but the USA geological survey reported them as about 6.8-6.9.

If the average is 17 greater than 7 mag. in a year then can someone tell me what two standard deviations from the mean would be in this case.
That is usually the variation always accepted as increased.
Will we need to wait a full year to really understand if the frequency is increasing?

We should make like a chart, the info is out there it shouldn't be too hard to do.

Anyone here good at chart making?

[burien1]

Didn`t anyone watch NBC nightly news w/Brian Williams last night ? He actually mentioned that Cal tech scientists have said something about california already having more tumblors so far this year, than they had altogether, all last year. He said it was all over twitter, And that people were talking about the earthquakes everywhere. I was quite surprised. But I can`t find any articles about it anywhere.

[david]

Didn`t anyone watch NBC nightly news w/Brian Williams last night ? He actually mentioned that Cal tech scientists have said something about california already having more tumblors so far this year, than they had altogether, all last year. He said it was all over twitter, And that people were talking about the earthquakes everywhere. I was quite surprised. But I can`t find any articles about it anywhere.

Hey Burien1, here is the short news spot on Hulu with Brian Williams about the tremors in So. Cal.. He mentioned that they recorded up to 70 tremors by April this year. That's more than double last year with only 4 months into this year.

http://www.hulu.com/watch/142246/nbc-ni ... california

david

[burien1]

Good job, david ! Thank you !

[david]

It sure seems (again intuitively ) that earthquakes in the range of 7 have increased. The USA geological survey nearly always reports them as less in magnitude than other world sources. Hence the one in the Solomon Island Sunday and the one in China were both reported elsewhere as 7.1 but the USA geological survey reported them as about 6.8-6.9.

If the average is 17 greater than 7 mag. in a year then can someone tell me what two standard deviations from the mean would be in this case.
That is usually the variation always accepted as increased.
Will we need to wait a full year to really understand if the frequency is increasing?

We should make like a chart, the info is out there it shouldn't be too hard to do.

Anyone here good at chart making?

I've had the data downloaded before into Excel and messed with it some. It's been a long time since I've used statistical software, but it's not too difficult to do a simple trend line in Excel. I'll see if I can reproduce it and post it.

[A_Watchman]

The problem is, if "the big one" hits the US, people will say that it hit a Christian nation. And that wouldn't be true.

So true. Even our, sigh, President declared that.

[Reborn]

"Emptyd" posted some informative graphs in February of this year. These graphs included ALL available USGS data from 1973 through 2008. They show an obvious increase in quakes.

On that same page (page 11) I posted the USGS data available for the Midwestern region of the US from December 2008 through December 2009. These graphs also show an obvious increase. Please see the link below to check out all the graphs!!

http://fulfilledprophecy.com/bb/viewtop ... &start=500

Now having said that, I've continued to keep track of all the quakes in the Midwest region so far this year and there has continued to be an increase. What's really eye opening for me though is that, besides the increase in the number of quakes, the INTENSITY of these quakes has increased too. Are we having 7's and 8' around here? NO! Thank God!!! Our region isn't like the West Coast so quakes that measure 5.2 here can cause a lot of damage because of the type of ground we have and the poor building codes, preparedness, etc, sigh.

Btw, the midwest region I monitor includes a wide portion of the US, including quakes as far to the east as NY and as far to the west as NM.

[extravagantchristian]

I'm not an earthquake expert but I'm thinking it might be best to examine the earthquake activity in the world as a whole, instead of focusing on a particular region because from what I've read it's not uncommon for quakes to come in a series as opposed to having one isolated quake in any particular area, that's why aftershocks are so common, because when the earth shifts, it takes time for it to all settle and the settling is what can cause the subsequent quakes.

[Reborn]

Oh, okay sorry.

[burien1]

Oh, okay sorry.

Reborn,
If my area were to become active, I would certainly like to know about it. If it appeared that a major quake was expected here, that may not have signifigance prophetically, but I`d still be watching. California is overdue, so if I lived there, I`d be paying close attention right now in the uptick in activity. So please don`t feel as if you have anything to apologize for. We`re watching all the activity here. Bits and pieces all fit together into the whole puzzle.

[Reborn]

Burien1, thanks. This is a long thread and because of my poor health, and "extravagantchristian's" comment I figured that this discussion was trying to focus on global quakes only (which I missed somehow) so I apologized. Misbehaving thyroids are just noooo fun.

But since you said you'd wanna know if your area was to become active, well, you don't live in Oklahoma do ya? If so, you might wanna take a vacation elsewhere or sleep with your shoes on for a while.

[extravagantchristian]

Burien1, thanks. This is a long thread and because of my poor health, and "extravagantchristian's" comment I figured that this discussion was trying to focus on global quakes only (which I missed somehow) so I apologized. Misbehaving thyroids are just noooo fun.

But since you said you'd wanna know if your area was to become active, well, you don't live in Oklahoma do ya? If so, you might wanna take a vacation elsewhere or sleep with your shoes on for a while.

reborn I'm sorry, I was just thinking out loud about all of these earthquakes that have happened lately, and wondering how we can tell for sure if they really are more frequent, like the scripture says they will be in the last days, or does it just seem that way because there have been several in one area.

I live near Oklahoma too, infact the fault line it located right on the edge of the county I live it. I know it's strange to have quakes in this area!

[Reborn]

reborn I'm sorry, I was just thinking out loud about all of these earthquakes that have happened lately, and wondering how we can tell for sure if they really are more frequent, like the scripture says they will be in the last days, or does it just seem that way because there have been several in one area.

I live near Oklahoma too, infact the fault line it located right on the edge of the county I live it. I know it's strange to have quakes in this area!

Hey Luv, no need to apologize. It's fine. You know, years ago when I first started surfing the Internet I tried to get other Believers to help me keep track of quakes. My hubby is a numbers cruncher so I thought he might help but he didn't have time. I knew I couldn't keep track of all the quakes myself so I figured I'd just zero in on the ones near me. I think it would be great idea if someone could get the global earthquake data and put it all together. As far as making a graph or chart of it goes, once the data is gathered the graphs are fairly easy if the right software is available. One problem I had back then with the global USGS data is it seemed to me (and I'm not the only one either) that they were fudging with the info. A small trembler could be any number of things, but it's kind of hard to blame a 5.6 on ordinary road work. Too many quakes, including some that were felt by folks, would vanish off the data page. The father of LIES will do whatever he can to obscure the Truth.

The reason I mentioned Oklahoma is because the last few months they have been having a lot more quakes than normal AND many of those quakes have been 3.0 or more. Last year, it was always Missouri and Tennessee that had the most quakes and there were several months that Oklahoma didn't even have any quakes. Ever since December 2009 though, Oklahoma has taken the uncontested lead. Check this out:

Dec/2009:
MO - 5 quakes
OK - 8 quakes
And out of 8 total quakes that were 3.0 or greater for the month Oklahoma had 4 of them. No other state even had two together.

Jan/2010:
MO - 2 quakes
OK - 6 quakes
And out of 6 total quakes 3.0 or greater for the month Oklahoma had 4 of them. No other state even had two.

Feb/2010:
MO - 7 quakes
OK - 9 quakes
Out of 6 total quakes 3.0 or greater for the month Oklahoma had 3 of them. No other state had even two.

Mar/2010:
MO - 8 quakes
OK - 9 quakes
Out of 9 total quakes 3.0 or greater for the month Oklahoma had 5 of them. NY had 2 of the 9.

Apr/2010 so far:
MO - 1
OK - 7
And out of 6 quakes 3.0 or greater for the month (so far) Oklahoma has had 4 of them. No other state has had even two.

These numbers may not seem to mean much taken out of the "whole" like this but for someone watching it says a lot. I'm just amazed at how Oklahoma (and to a lesser degree Arkansas) has increased it's earthquake action. Of course, these figures won't seem as scary as the figures from the West Coast or some place else on the ring of fire but since this area was, for the most part, BORING to chart in the past (thank God, please keep it that way Lord) it's just been amazing to see it take off so much recently.

[nonymouse]

(See Part 3.)

http://prophecyproof.blogspot.com/

[Reborn]

Thought I'd post this Utah quake. I'm not sure how often quakes occur in Utah.

Magnitude 4.9 - UTAH
2010 April 15 23:59:38 UTC

Magnitude: 4.9
Date-Time: Thursday, April 15, 2010 at 23:59:38 UTC
Thursday, April 15, 2010 at 05:59:38 PM at epicenter
Location: 41.703°N, 111.104°W
Depth: 0.5 km (~0.3 mile) (poorly constrained)
Region: UTAH
Distances:
8 km (5 miles) ENE (57°) from Randolph, UT
21 km (13 miles) NNE (13°) from Woodruff, UT
23 km (14 miles) SE (127°) from Laketown, UT
50 km (31 miles) NNW (347°) from Evanston, WY
124 km (77 miles) NNE (32°) from Salt Lake City, UT

Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 0.9 km (0.6 miles); depth +/- 6.9 km (4.3 miles)
Parameters: NST= 51, Nph= 51, Dmin=28 km, Rmss=0.47 sec, Gp= 86°, M-type=local magnitude (ML), Version=3
Source: University of Utah Seismograph Stations
Event ID: uu00002715

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/ ... 002715.php

PS: Thanks for that link, nonymouse.

[BeTheMoon]

6.3 quake in Papau Ne Ginnea
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8627836.stm

[Small-Time]

There seems to have been a few 5.0s along the Mexico, haiti, Puerto Rico line lately too.
I have been watching Puerto Rico for a while on and off and any thing over a 3.0 is above normal in my opinion.
There was a 4.8 to the north on saturday and a 5.1 to the west on Sunday.
Any-who that's my two cents.

[Adamantine]

http://www.irishcentral.com/news/Volcan ... 02804.html


“In the message I received on Sunday 18th April 2010, Our Lady, warns of a darker cloud across Europe. She also told me that God is extremely angry with the evil action of priests, bishops and cardinals in the Catholic Church and that, unless we convert back to our Faith in Ireland, we will not be able to redeem ourselves in the eyes of God at this very important time.


"http://www.foxnews.com/world/2010/04/19/iranian-cleric-promiscuous-women-cause-quakes/

Iranian Cleric Says Promiscuous Women Are to Blame for Earthquakes
Associated Press
BEIRUT
A senior Iranian cleric says women who wear revealing clothing and behave promiscuously are to blame for earthquakes.



Comment
Could they both be right?


but I am not ready to even say
earthquakes are truly increased.
Intuitively it seems they are increased.
Someday if increased the statistics will show it.

[Justasheep]

I'm going to say that they have increased, especially in 2010, and the data is supporting it. Looking at Iris.edu - and selecting only mag 6+ events there are 64 so far this year. If you extrapolate that rate of 6+ activity out to a full year its about 212 earthquakes. The next closest year on this database (only back to 1990) is about 150, most years are 100 or less.

Others looking at usgs lists of earthquakes and eq activity need to note most of those lists are "selected earthquakes" and don't reflect statistically relevant data since someone had to subjectively "select" certain earthquakes. There is the opportunity for the selector to be increasing picky about what they put on the "selected" list as activity increases.

I know in a geological timeframe, a year, 10 years or even 100 years isn't really significant, however I find it quite intriguing that this year would be SUCH a spike in the number of actually observed seismic events of great magnitude.

[david]

Since the last posting of seismic activity here at FP in 2008 things have changed substantially and it’s not as I would have expected. And it may not be what you expect either. Two years of data can make a huge difference. I was curious like everyone else, with all the rumblings lately what the actual data looks like.

I’ll let you look at the charts, and if you have any question about how it was collected and plotted or what certain things mean then certainly please ask. I've made annotated observation in the charts, beyond that I'll let you draw your own conclusion.

Disclaimer: I am not a statistician or a geologist but I do play one here on F.P.. The data and the integrity is accurate and complete to my knowledge.

There are basically two types of charts, the first chart #1 measures total global event count by year for magnitudes
above .1 and up. The next chart, #2 plots two trends, one of quakes ranging from 7 to 7.9 and another 8 to 9.9 for 1973 to 2010. The next three charts (#3-5) plot the magnitude, #3 starts a wide view of all the data then chart #4 and 5 zoom in on the trend line with the last chart #5 showing the global magnitude trend from 2008 to 2010


david
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BE SURE TO USE YOUR BROWSER "BACKSPACE" BUTTON TO GET BACK, OR YOU MAY ACCIDENTALLY CLOSE IT OUT.


Click to See Full Size Chart #1
Global Quake Event Count Total Trend From 1990 to April 2010.


Click to See Full Size Chart #2
Global Quake Event Count - 7 to 7.0 and 8 to 9.9 - Trend 1973 to 2010


Click to See Full Size Chart #3
Global Magnitude Trend 1973 to 2010


Click to See Full Size Chart #4
Global Magnitude Trend 1973 to 2010 -Zoom1
(Note: Annotation on chart should not read "73 year low", it should say "34 year low", from 1973 to 2007 = 34 years)


Click to See Full Size Chart #5
Global Magnitude Trend 2008 to 2010 -Zoom2

[Justasheep]

David - I'm interested in seeing the images you posted, but can't view them because they are on Flickr. Could you post them some other way? We block flickr on our network because there is a very poor track record on obscene imagery there, and very poorly implemented content controls there.

[david]

David - I'm interested in seeing the images you posted, but can't view them because they are on Flickr. Could you post them some other way? We block flickr on our network because there is a very poor track record on obscene imagery there, and very poorly implemented content controls there.

Oh my, I was not aware of that, I just signed up with Flickr some several months ago. If you have another image hosting sites with out this issue then please let me know. It might take a little while for me to change it over.


Justasheep, thank you for pointing that out,

David

[Reborn]

I'm going to say that they have increased, especially in 2010, and the data is supporting it. Looking at Iris.edu - and selecting only mag 6+ events there are 64 so far this year. If you extrapolate that rate of 6+ activity out to a full year its about 212 earthquakes. The next closest year on this database (only back to 1990) is about 150, most years are 100 or less.

Others looking at usgs lists of earthquakes and eq activity need to note most of those lists are "selected earthquakes" and don't reflect statistically relevant data since someone had to subjectively "select" certain earthquakes. There is the opportunity for the selector to be increasing picky about what they put on the "selected" list as activity increases.

I know in a geological timeframe, a year, 10 years or even 100 years isn't really significant, however I find it quite intriguing that this year would be SUCH a spike in the number of actually observed seismic events of great magnitude.

Interesting info, Justasheep, thanks. Btw, I totally agree with your second paragraph. That's another reason why I've zeroed in on quakes in the Midwest area only. It's easier for me to track down local reports about the quakes or read comments by residents who live in some of the little towns experiencing quakes. I've seen too many instances of the "picky selector" syndrome you've described so well for us.

[RaptureReady]

6.9 Mw - SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN


Preliminary Earthquake Report Magnitude 6.9 Mw
Date-Time 26 Apr 2010 02:59:50 UTC
26 Apr 2010 10:59:50 near epicenter
25 Apr 2010 21:59:50 standard time in your timezone

Location 22.247N 123.733E
Depth 10 km
Distances 244 km (152 miles) S (191 degrees) of Ishigaki-jima, Ryukyu Islands, Japan
269 km (167 miles) E (101 degrees) of T'ai-tung, Taiwan
271 km (169 miles) NE (41 degrees) of Basco, Batan Islands, Philippines
897 km (557 miles) NNE (19 degrees) of MANILA, Philippines

[jgilberAZ]

.
Are these becoming so common that they don't even make news any more?

[denise]

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/05/01/qu ... latestnews

May 01, 2010
6.0 quakes rumble under Bering Sea
no tsunami risk, too far from land to be felt

PALMER, Alaska (AP) — Two strong earthquakes rumbled Friday under the Bering Sea off Alaska, but officials say they posed no tsunami risk and were too far from land to be felt.

[Spreading Salt]

6.0 Lebu Chile

EQ-20100503-176582-CL Common Alerting Protocol
Magnitude: 6.0
Mercalli scale: 6
Date-Time [UTC]: 03 May, 2010 at 23:09:39 UTC
Local Date/Time: Monday, May 03, 2010 at 23:09 at night at epicenter

[Spreading Salt]

5.4 Luwuk Indonesia

Earthquake
Country: Indonesia
State: Central Sulawesi
Location: Luwuk
Date: 2010-05-03 : 23:30:03
Magnitude: 5.4
Depth: 5 km

[Spreading Salt]

MAG UTC DATE-TIME
y/m/d h:m:s LAT
deg LON
deg DEPTH
km Region
MAP 5.2 2010/05/03 23:30:05 -0.779 122.535 19.3 SULAWESI, INDONESIA
MAP 6.4 2010/05/03 23:09:46 -38.110 -73.648 20.6 OFFSHORE BIO-BIO, CHILE
MAP 5.5 2010/05/03 14:04:20 52.651 -163.653 10.7 SOUTH OF ALASKA
MAP 6.1 2010/05/03 10:27:45 29.614 141.064 82.3 IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION


Busy shakin day today.

[denise]

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2010/05/05 ... latestnews

May 05, 2010
Magnitude 6.4 quake hits southern Peru; near Chile border